Counting on Caleb: A deep dive into Williams’ outstanding performance vs. Jacksonville
The Bears offense is rounding into form, with 95 points scored over the course of this three-game winning streak. We’ve seen unit-wide improvement, with the offensive line, run game and pass catchers ramping up.
None of that matters, however, if the quarterback isn’t playing smart an throwing the ball well.
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Caleb Williams has been doing most everything well, save some slower starts, during this run of success that has pushed the Bears to 4-2.
While Chicago isn’t completely reliant on its quarterback – the defense is legit and the running game has improved exponentially – the team is truly threatening with Williams on his game.
Let’s take a deep dive into the numbers and analysis that proves the above points:
Week 6 stat lines
Box score
23-for-29 passing (79.3 comp%), 226 yds, 7.8 ypa, 4 TD, 1 INT, 124.4 passer rating; 4 rushes, 56 yards, 3 sacks, 0 fumbles
PFF Metrics
Kept clean (64.7%): 19-for-21, 178 yds, 8.5 ypa 3 TD, 1 INT
Under pressure (35.3%): 4-for-8, 48 yds, 6.0 ypa, 1 TD, 0 INT
Not Blitzed (82.4%): 20-for-24, 184 yds, 7.7 ypa, 3 TD, 1 INT
When Blitzed (17.6%): 3-for-5, 42 yds, 8.4 ypa, 1 TD, 0 INT
PFF Passing direction map
Overall evaluation
I mean, wow. That’s a solid way to describe what Caleb Williams was able to do against the Jaguars. He was in a great rhythm, confident in his decision making and accurate with his passes throughout a dominant showing.
All that comes from PFF, which stated Williams was 13-for-14 for 111 passing yards and three touchdowns on quick throws. That doesn’t he’s throwing nothing but short passes. During the Bears’ last three games, he’s 20-for-30 for 313 passing yards, seven TDs and one interception on targets beyond the first down marker.
Williams is doing most everything well right now, spreading the ball around, using his check downs and passes down the sideline and slant concepts in the middle of the field. The best compliment we can offer right now is that Williams looks in complete command of the offense, the operation – he’s benefitting from the offense often being on the ball – and his reads and progressions. He’s using his eyes well and making every throw.
Outside of that interception that was simply underthrown, it’s hard to find glaring fault with how Williams played against Jacksonville.
Eberflus, Allen and Williams on Caleb’s Week 6 performance
“I was a bit pissed off at myself just because that’s a pass that you don’t miss, that you don’t want to miss and do something like that. I was a bit pissed off after that. I think resetting myself was important, but still, having that in the back of my mind, can’t have that happen again, and let’s go out here and go score.” — Williams
“He knows that he’s always working and improving and growing. He knows that it’s going to be a big — this year is a big year for him to be able to learn the game up here. You know, he’s always been good enough in terms of the talent and those things. But he’s learning the game and learning our offense and learning our skill sets that we have, learning new things that they can do. You know, so our guys have wide skillsets.
“We want to utilize those guys skillsets to be able to widen that so we can really expand our offense as we go through the year. So, he’s going a good job with that.” – Matt Eberflus
“When he came back the next drive after the (second-quarter interception), just heard him kind of give out a ‘let’s go’. You could tell he wasn’t down, he wasn’t losing any confidence. So I was like, OK, let’s see how this goes and then bing, bam, boom, we went all the way down the field.” – Keenan Allen
Rookie rankings
Williams is among four rookie quarterbacks making regular starts for their respective teams at this time. Here are their overall stats through six weeks:
Jayden Daniels (Washington): 125-of-166 passing (75.3 comp%), 1404 yds, 6 TD, 2 INT, 8.5 ypa, 107.1 passer rating; 63 rushes, 322 yds, 4 TD; 15 sacks, 3 fumbles
Bo Nix (Denver): 121-of-198 passing (61.1 comp%), 1,082 yds, 5 TD, 5 INT, 5.2 ypa, 73.4 passer rating; 37 rushes, 180 yds, 3 TD; 9 sacks, 0 fumbles
Caleb Williams (Bears): 130-for-199 passing (65.3 comp%), 1,317 yds, 9 TD, 5 INT, 6.6 ypa, 88.7 passer rating; 25 rushes for 169 yds; 20 sacks, 3 fumbles
Drake Maye (Patriots)*: 20-of-33 passing (60.6 comp%), 43 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT, 7.4 ypa, 88.3 passer rating; 5 rushes, 38 yds; 4 sacks, 1 fumble
* Maye assumed the starter’s role in Week 6
Looking ahead
Williams has shown an ability to learn and develop even after good performances. That means Williams won’t just look to rinse and repeat starting after the bye. That will be a game with massive amounts of hype, pitting the top two NFL draft picks against each other.
Washington quarterback Jayden Daniels has been incredible from the jump, with an excellent working partnership with offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury that has produced big results.
Williams started a bit slower but has picked things up in recent weeks. While Williams isn’t one to get worked up by the hype, he is a competitor who will want to show well in this Week 9 contest. Staying within himself and the offense will keep Williams on track and playing well, over the purposeful, somewhat forced big-play attempts that got him in trouble during losses in Weeks 2 and 3.
Eberflus, Williams and Kmet on what comes next
“He’s done a really good job with that. Every defense provides different things, there are going to be unscouted looks every single week. What you see on tape is not necessarily what you are going to see in the game. That’s part of being in the NFL and part of game planning and part of being able to tacitly adjust offensively and as a quarterback in game. It’s important that we continue to do that, recognize what’s what’s going on in front of us and have the plans to be able to succeed going forward.” — Eberflus
“I think I’ve been seeing it well. That starts throughout the whole week watching film, in there at practice, talking to coaches, players. So I think I’m seeing it well. I think the comfort level, like I talked about before, getting back to playing football, where I need to be, eyes need to be, if I need to hold the safety, if I need to just angle a route, getting back comfortable and just having that feel for the game. Obviously, you study, you watch, you do all these other things, but once the b all’s snapped you’ve got that post-snap read, know what you’ve got to do and be confident about it. I think that’s what I can attribute it to.” — Williams
“I think just his growth. Week in, week out, he gets better. Obviously when we pick up the tempo, he’s a lot more comfortable, he’s able to see things faster and the defense can’t do all the moving around and stuff. It’s a benefit to us.” — Allen